Tag Archives: gold crash

As the U.S. economy continues to improve steadily, the Federal Reserve prepares to dial back its QE policy, and investors continue to rotate into stocks, the price of gold is poised to fall further. Look for another down leg in the range of $1,000 to $900 an ounce. That's another 20% to 25% loss.

From the onset of the global financial crisis, the price of gold has often been portrayed as a barometer of global economic insecurity (in principle, holding gold is a form of insurance against war, financial Armageddon, and wholesale currency debasement) so does the collapse in gold prices - from a peak of $1,900 per ounce in August 2011 to under $1,250 at the beginning of July 2013 - represent a vote of confidence in the global economy?

Surely, the swift and severe plunge in gold represents a buying opportunity, right? I mean, it's not like the Fed finally stopped printing money, right? Wrong! As the old saying goes, "never try to catch a falling knife" and that's especially true in the case of gold. Below are 3 fundamental forces working against gold prices and, combined, they could ultimately push the precious metal down another 25% from here.

In my article of April 5th, posted here, I maintained that in the next year, and particularly for the next three to six months, a liquidation phase in the current cyclical bear market in gold would likely develop,,,[causing gold to] fall sharply. [Below are the 8 reasons I mentioned back then which still remain relevant today.]