Shadowstats presents what they claim to be the original methodology used by the government to calculate the rate of inflation in the U.S. but Shadowstats' John Williams is not calculating inflation any differently. He is not using the 1980s or 1990s methodology... [Instead,] all he's is doing is taking the CPI data and adding on an arbitrary constant to make it look like inflation is higher!
Read More »Should the FED Give Money Directly To Consumers Instead of the Banks?
There is an idea floating about to stimulate the economy via providing cash directly to consumers. It may just be a trial balloon at this point, but I expect the idea to gain traction. Here's why.
Read More »Interest Rates to Remain Low As Far As the Eye Can See? Perhaps, BUT…(+2K Views)
Everyone knows that interest rates are going to rise in the future so the real question is not whether they will rise, but when and by how much. [This article analyzes when that will most likely be.]
Read More »Inflation or Deflation: Are We Approaching the Tipping Point? (+2K Views)
Might our Inflation-Deflation Watch be suggesting a breakout in asset price inflation is about to take place? Could it, in fact, be presaging the start of John William’s hyper inflationary depression in which prices rise exponentially even in light of massive unemployment and bankruptcies? This article analyzes the situation.
Read More »Fed & Yellen So Far Behind Inflation Curve Chance of Hyperinflation Is Now 35%! Here’s Why (+2K Views)
Janet Yellen and the Federal Reserve are so behind the inflation curve, and many other market implication curves, that we probably are staring at a 35% chance of a Hyper-Inflationary period by the time the Federal Reserve realizes that "noise" is actually real inflation!
Read More »Probability of Deflation Is 60%, Inflation Is 25% and Muddling Through Is 15% – Here’s Why (+2K Views)
At the end of last year virtually every every single economist expected interest rates to rise this year as the Fed tapered their purchases and the economy improved but, in fact, interest rates on the 10 year U.S. Treasury have been going down year to date (from 3% to 2.5% after rising from about 1.6% to 3% last year). The masses, going along with this crowd, got fooled but we have been calling for a decline in interest rates for some time now due to world-wide deflation and it couldn’t be clearer to us that this is the most likely scenario for the United States. Let us explain.
Read More »Gold Should Bounce Sharply Higher – Here Are 10 Reasons Why (+4K Views)
Is it time to throw in the towel? Is the bull market in precious metals really over? I don't think so because my analyses suggest that nearly all of the fundamental factors that have been driving the gold price higher in the past decade have only strengthened in the past two years. Now that the correction has most likely run its course, I expect gold to bounce sharply higher. Here are 10 reasons why.
Read More »It’s the “Quiet Time” Before the Storm – A Time In Which To Prepare. Here’s How
While the danger of loss of wealth due to the holding of bank notes is not imminent...it is better to make a move well in advance of a loss than to make the decision even one day too late. Here's what could happen as the Great Unravelling progresses and how to protect yourself from those eventualities.
Read More »Short the Dow & Go Long Gold – It’s the “Trade of the Decade”! Here’s Why (+2K Views)
At the beginning of a hyperinflationary cycle, the stock market virtually always makes substantial gains which is just reflecting the sheer weight of printed money...After the initial enthusiasm the stock market loses its lustre and falls in tandem with the economy into a deflationary depression. The U.S. is now slowly entering such a hyperinflationary phase. Here's what that means for the future price of gold.
Read More »Ignore the Hype: Inflation Is NOT That High – Anywhere!
There is very little evidence of high inflation at present, despite what the hyperinflationists say, and a little bit of common sense totally debunks the idea that there is.
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