Sentiment surveys clearly show how bears have given up, and neutrals have capitulated and this particular trend may have room to run further.
Read More »Fearful In This Market? If Not, You Should Be!
As Warren Buffett is famous for saying "...be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful” and now is such a time. The crowd can be right for a long time, but they are rarely right at extremes and, while this time may be different, the probabilities suggest that at the very least it will be a more difficult environment for equities going forward.
Read More »There’s Evidence – Plenty of It – That the Bear Is No Longer Hibernating. Here’s Why
The health of a market is best assessed along three vectors: fundamentals, technicals (price action) and sentiment and this is what each is saying about the health of the markets these days.
Read More »5 Reasons To Be Positive On Equities
For the month of January, U.S. stocks experienced the best month in more than two decades [and the Dow hit 14,009 on Feb. 1st for the first time since 2007]. Per the Stock Traders’ Almanac market indicator, the “January Barometer,” the performance of the S&P 500 Index in the first month of the year dictates where stock prices will head for the year. Let’s hope so.... [This article identifies f more solid reasons why equities should do well in 2013.] Words: 453
Read More »Panic/Euphoria Model Is In "Panic" Territory – So Where’s the Fear? (+2K Views)
With stocks declining in the last few weeks all the various sentiment surveys point to excessive bearishness/excessive fear. That's in spite of the fact that market based indicators such as the VIX Index are not showing very much fear at all. While this market is deeply oversold and due for a relief rally, these readings are suggestive that there is more downside before we see an intermediate term bottom. [Let me explain.] Words: 290
Read More »Watch Out: Gold NOW Prone to a Collapse! Here's Why
Attention on the gold market has reached a fever pitch, with almost every commentator stating their love for the metal’s currency and sociopolitical hedging attributes. However, we believe the risk in holding gold has now reached unacceptable levels, and it is now prone to a collapse. [Let us explain.] Words: 1790
Read More »It's Time To Sell Your Stocks and Buy Gold! Here's Why
The S&P 500 has rebounded about 100% in 100 weeks. What crisis? What new normal? The economy is recovering and happy times are back again. Old normal is back. Stocks for the long run! Permabears be damned! The permabulls are back! Rates are low, core inflation is low. It's Goldilocks time! [Hold on, though. That's only half the picture and the other half does not paint such a rosy picture. Let me explain.] Words: 959
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