When it comes to valuing stocks, the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is the number one metric for investors that want an instant fix on what the market thinks of a company. [That being said]...there are health warnings to heed if you don’t want to be left exposed by its limitations. [Let me explain.] Words: 1101
Read More »PEG Ratio Helps Identify Over & Under Valued Sectors & Stocks
Simply because the P/E for a sector or individual stocks is high does not necessarily mean the sector or stock is overvalued. Importantly, the P/E should be compared to the earnings growth rate for each sector or company. By dividing the P/E by the earnings growth rate, one obtains the PEG ratio (PE to growth rate.) This article compares each sector’s P/Es to each sector’s PEG ratio and comments on which sectors are over and under valued.
Read More »A P/E Ratio of ’15’ May Be A Real Bargain Now – Here’s Why (+2K Views)
The stock market used to be a playground for the elite and the well-informed but it is now overrun by relatively ignorant retail investors. In light of this, and other dramatic shifts in market conditions, a P/E ratio of '15' may now be a real bargain if '20' is now the new fair market value.
Read More »What Does the Forward PE Ratio Tell Us – REALLY? (+2K Views)
The forward price/earnings (PE) ratio is probably the most popular way to measure value in the stock market - when the forward PE is above average, the market is expensive and future returns will be low and, when the PE ratio is below average, the market is cheap and future returns will be high. Putting such popular rules of thumb aside, what does the forward PE really tell us?
Read More »Is the S&P 500 Overvalued? Here’s an Assessment
The S&P 500 has rallied for three years in a row, without a significant correction. This puzzles many observers who consider equities to be overvalued. Many experts predicted a correction (or worse) this year - after predicting one last year which has not happened - so how high is the S&P 500 valuation, after all?
Read More »Stock Market Could Enjoy Many More Years of Big Gains! Here’s Why
It's hard to believe there is more upside left in the stock market considering this year's rally...[yet, while] the indices may be wildly overbought in the near term, ...stocks could have a few more years of big gains ahead.
Read More »Will It Be Different This Time? Will the Dow and S&P 500 Go Up, UP and Awaaay? (+2K Views)
Since the late 1800's, the Dow has experienced three periods where it traded sideways, ranging from 13 to 17 years, [which always] resulted in upside breakouts . The S&P 500 finds itself within a few percentage points of where it was 13 years ago [so the question is "Has the time now come for the Dow and S&P 500 to once again go Up, UP and Awaaay?" Let's take a look at some charts.] Words: 299; Charts: 2
Read More »Current Market Overvaluation (from 33% – 51%!) Suggests Cautious Long-term Outlook (+2K Views)
Based on the latest S&P 500 monthly data, [my analyses indicate that] the market is overvalued somewhere in the range of 33% to 51%, depending on which of 4 indicators I used. This is an increase over the previous month's 31% to 48% range. [Let me explain the details.] Words: 475
Read More »Now’s the Time to be Contrarian and Invest in the Stock Market – Here’s Why (+2K Views)
Can markets find the road back to positive territory? [There are] three reasons investors should consider [before deciding whether to] remain in equities or...sit on the sidelines, [namely that:] investor sentiment is signaling the market is over-extended to the downside, stocks are trading well below historical valuation trends and the S&P 500 dividend yields are higher than the 10-year Treasury yield. [Let's take a look at each of the three to help you come to a decision. Words: 960
Read More »Check Out This Grading System for Comparing Stocks (+2K Views)
Jeremy Siegel offered in his book, Stocks for the Long-Run, several actionable techniques that investors might find beneficial, one of which was a 3 parameter approach to stock valuation called the O-Metrix Grading System. The metrix has been applied to all 30 stocks listed on the Dow Jones Industrial Index and 5 stocks top the list. Below is an explaination of the approach, the formula and the results for all 30 stocks. Words: 985
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