Historically, the average P/E ratio of the S&P 500 is 16.64, and a reversion to said mean would represent a further decline in the index of 33%.Read More »
What Does Current Global Crisis Comparison with Those of '08 and '10 Mean for Stocks, Bonds, Currencies and Commodities?
How does the current behavior of the global financial markets compare with the two recent crises, namely the great financial crisis of 2008/2009 and the minor one in 2010 when the sovereign debt crisis in the eurozone developed? [I have analyzed 15 aspects of the markets and have concluded that over the next 2/3 months we should see, among other things, increased volatility, declining S&P 500 and MSCI World indices, a bottoming in the 10-year U.S. Treasuries yield, renewed U.S. dollar weakness, renewed strength in the price of gold and silver with silver outperforming that of gold. Take a look at the 19 charts below to see for yourself.] Words: 825Read More »
The next decade will surely be especially turbulent, because that's when markets and politics will sort out what the inevitable train wreck in the US entitlement programs will look like. Words: 713Read More »