Where do we go from here? The trend is up in the broad markets (above 200MA and Advance/Decline line is at all-time highs) and the S&P 500 is on the verge of a breaking through resistance at 1929. Why 1929? What would it mean if it did?
Read More »Relax! The Stock Market Is Anything But “Scary-Overvalued” – Here’s Why (+2K Views)
Are we near the end of one of history's great stock market rallies? I don't think so. Yes, prices are in the upper half of their long-term trends, but it's not what you might call "scary-overvalued." There is still plenty of room on the upside before historical precedents are violated. Let me explain further.
Read More »Watch These 12 Data Points For Future Direction of Gold & Stocks (+2K Views)
A big short term move in both stocks and gold is probably fairly imminent as periods of extremely low volatility like we are currently experiencing are invariably followed by periods of very high volatility that are brought about by a trigger event of some sort. There will probably be an advance warning somewhere, in a corner of the markets that perhaps isn't widely watched...[so] keep a close eye on these 12 inter-market signals.
Read More »Should You Care What’s Happening On the Nikkei 225? YES! Here’s Why
Should markets around the world really care about what the Nikkei 225 Index does? The Power of the Pattern suggests "yes"! Here's why.
Read More »Collapse of S&P 500 May Be Only Weeks Ahead! Here’s Why (+3K Views)
When Staple sector (i.e. defensive) stocks started to reflect greater relative strength than Discretionary sector stocks back in 2000 and again in 2007, the S&P 500 began to fall dramatically in the ensuing months. That's happening again. Can a collapse of the S&P 500 be far behind?
Read More »A 20%+ Sell-off is Brewing In the Lofty U.S. Stock Markets – Here’s Why & What the Future Holds (+2K Views)
For today's seriously overextended and overvalued US stock markets the best-case scenario is a full-blown correction approaching 20% emerging soon while the worst case is a new cyclical bear market that ultimately leads to catastrophic 50% losses.
Read More »2 Stock Market Indicators Are Saying “Be careful, don’t get caught up in the euphoria” (+2K Views)
In the midst of all the optimism we see towards key stock indices these days, there are two leading indicators that are flashing warning signals. They say, “Be careful, and don’t get caught up in the euphoria.”
Read More »Will Major Decline of S&P 500 Adversely Affect Gold & Silver Stocks? (3K Views)
Should gold stock investors and speculators worry about the effect of a deeper decline or cyclical bear market of the S&P 500 on the mining sector? [You'll be surprised at the answer!]
Read More »Interest Rates NOT Rising Any Time Soon – Even With Fed Tapering. Here’s Why
Everyone and their mom is expecting long-term interest rates to rise now that the Fed is tapering its bond buying programs. I have a couple of problems with this line of thinking because, although it seems like reducing demand for a security (i.e. tapering QE) would result in a drop in price, when you really think about how quantitative easing works this makes no sense and, secondly, the market is telling us this makes no sense. Let me explain.
Read More »Gold, Stocks & Bonds: What % Should You Have of Each? (+2K Views)
What would the optimal portfolio allocation in gold have been according to Modern Portfolio Theory over several different periods of time? This article has a look at how an investor could have combined gold and equities to enhance risk-adjusted returns.
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