Dozens (dare I say hundreds?) of "analysts" (should I say alarmists?) are convinced that the U.S. economy (and that of the world for that matter) is going to hell in a hand basket - and soon. How sound are their analyses of the current economic situation? Will they be proven to be very insightful or nothing less than fear mongers looking for attention? Their views are all here. You be the judge.
Read More »Are These Views Of the Economy Fear Mongering OR Insightful? You Be the Judge (+2K Views)
Will 2015 be a year of financial crashes, economic chaos and the start of the next worldwide depression? Personally, I am entirely convinced that the financial markets are more primed for a financial collapse now than they have been at any other time since the last crisis happened nearly seven years ago and I am certainly not alone.
Read More »New Hindenburg Omen Suggests Stock Market Crash Coming Within 4 Months! (+2K Views)
If we have an official Hindenburg Omen then a critical set of market conditions necessary for a stock market crash exists - and such occurred on Dec.2nd. We now have a much higher-than-random probability of a stock market crash, or at the very least a significant decline, starting sometime over the next four months.
Read More »Experts Say Our Financial Markets Are Primed For A Fall
For the moment, things are looking pretty good in the United States but...our financial markets are perfectly primed for a fall. Sadly, most people did not see the crash of 2008 coming, and most people will not see the next one coming either.
Read More »All’s Well That Ends Well BUT It Won’t End Well This Time!
Since 2008 stocks have risen dramatically throughout every stage of quantitative easing but, when the various phases of quantitative easing have ended, stocks have always responded by declining substantially...only to eventually start rising again was a new round of quantitative easing. So what will happen this time?
Read More »Coming Market Crash? Don’t Hold Your Breath! Here’s Why
With two huge market declines in a the same decade, investors are constantly on edge waiting for the next crash, but we’re more likely to see cyclical, not secular, market drops for the simple fact that they happen more often. Here are the details.
Read More »History Says “Expect An Economic Crash AGAIN In 2015” – Here’s Why (+2K Views)
Large numbers of people believe that an economic crash is coming next year based on a 7-year cycle of economic crashes that goes all the way back to the Great Depression. Such a premise is very controversial - some of you will love it, and some of you will think that it is utter rubbish - so I just present the bare bone facts below for you decide for yourself if it is something to seriously consider protecting yourself from in 2015.
Read More »Confirmed Hindenburg Omen Says 23.5% Probability of -15%+ Stock Market Crash; 61.7% Chance of +5% Decline (+3K Views)
No stock market crash (a decline greater than 15%) has occurred over the past 30 years without the presence of a Hindenburg Omen except on one occasion (the mini-crash of July/August 2011). As such, without an official confirmed Hindenburg Omen, we are pretty safe from experiencing a major stock market correction. On the other hand, if we have an official Hindenburg Omen, then a critical set of market conditions necessary for a stock market crash exists. As of September 19th, 2014, we have such a condition in the market...
Read More »The Stock Market Needs A 1987-like Crash – Here’s Why
If you’re in the business of fear-mongering, one of the go-to moves to try to scare investors is to predict that the markets are looking eerily similar to October of 1987. That being said, you could actually argue that the 1987 crash was a good thing for the markets. It knocked some of the wind out of its sails after more than doubling from 1982-1986 so it begs the question "Would a Repeat of the 1987 Crash Really Be That Bad?".
Read More »Another 35% Crash In the Stock Market Would Not Be That Unusual – Here’s Why
Some witless pollyannas will say the title of this article is inappropriate. Unfortunately, these hapless souls suffer from excessive greed, rampant euphoria and hyper-complacency. Furthermore, they are ignorant of stock market history and its immutable cycles where only magnitude and duration vary. They foolishly delude themselves into believing that the US Fed has “banned” bear markets and has discovered the “magic elixir” to kill all potential bears while they are still cubs or in hibernation.
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