Tag Archives: unemployment

If we look at the economic collapses of the past, from the fall of the Roman Empire to Weimar Germany to Argentina and Zimbabwe, the pattern is extremely similar. Let's have a look at that pattern and ask ourselves if the present situation might not play out much the same.

After the current counter-trend rally fizzles out and the primary bear market trend resumes, in the course of the next leg down, U.S. equity prices will collapse significantly below recent lows and establish a bottom somewhere between the range of approximately 1900 and 1500 on the S&P 500 index. In this article I explain why that is the case.

The debate over deflation/inflation continues as some of our most astute economic observers take sides. Frankly, I think that both sides are missing part of the picture. The debate concentrates on the after shocks of inflation/deflation: prices instead of the money supply and the demand for it. Words: 721

Central banking makes it possible for the government to expand the money supply by any amount, at any time deemed necessary and once (hyper)inflation is publicly seen as being the lesser evil of all options available for the government meeting its debt service, it cannot be dismissed out of hand that (hyper)inflation would be the consequence of an unsustainable debt-to-GDP ratio.

We often take things far too seriously when looking at the world of high finance, the global economy and the ins and outs of investing. Lighten up and relax. See the world for what it really is through the eyes (and words) of some individuals who can do just that.

The Great Depression was the most severe economic depression ever experienced by the Western world and it was during this troubled time that the world’s most famous case of deflation also happened.

There are now countless warning signs all around us on a daily basis that the U.S. is headed for a complete societal collapse. Words: 573

With unemployment claims as a % of the population hitting record lows in each of the past 4 years and a record number of job openings, we can be assured that there is precious little slack in the labor market so why do wage growth measures fail to provide accurate conclusions. The answer is that the overall labor composition has shifted toward lower paid entry level Millennials replacing peak earning Boomers heading into retirement. Let me explain with the help of some enlightening charts.

Pushing the big problems into the future appears to have been the working strategy for both the Fed and recent Administrations, yet the U.S. dollar and the budget deficit do matter, and the future is at hand. The day of ultimate financial reckoning has arrived, and it is playing out. Words: 1096

This scheme of revolving credit will end badly when the pigeons come home to roost; when the piper has to be paid; when we find out that there is no such thing as a free lunch. It is just a matter of time before we become the last of society’s ‘greater fools’ and, as such, are the ones required to pay the inevitable price of achieving future economic and financial stability.